J2 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 05:00 • Yamaha Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.23) 1.75 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.4% 22.0% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
V-varen Nagasaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jubilo Iwata 0 2.8% 4.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.1% 8.9% 7.8% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.8% 5.0% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJubilo IwataV-varen Nagasaki
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack73%73%
Defense0%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jubilo Iwata V-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
Played171734181634
Wins59%35%47%56%44%50%
Draws6%29%18%33%38%35%
Loses35%35%35%11%19%15%

Form: Jubilo Iwata: WWLLWWWDDLLLDWWWDDWWLLWLLWWDWLLWLW • V-varen Nagasaki: WDWDWWLLLDLDDWDWWLDWWWDDWWWWWDDWWD

League goals

Metric Jubilo Iwata V-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
GF total272552312556
GF avg1.61.51.51.71.61.6
GA total222547182341
GA avg1.31.51.41.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJubilo IwataV-varen Nagasaki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%68%88%74%
1.538%41%50%26%
2.526%21%18%15%
3.59%9%6%6%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJubilo IwataV-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411729
Failed to score448224

Penalties

MetricJubilo IwataV-varen Nagasaki
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricJubilo IwataV-varen Nagasaki
Wins35
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-45-11-3
Biggest losses0-43-10-24-1
Goals For5453
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricJubilo IwataV-varen Nagasaki
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def15%85%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total37.7%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or V-varen Nagasaki

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ 10Bet
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away1.90 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jubilo Iwata = 1.82 (league 1.23), V-varen Nagasaki = 1.75 (league 1.19)

V-varen Nagasaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jubilo Iwata 0 2.8% 4.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.1% 8.9% 7.8% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.8% 5.0% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 36.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1