J2 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 04:03 • Toyama Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.27) 1.34 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 28.4% 52.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sagan Tosu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kataller Toyama 0 13.1% 17.6% 11.7% 5.2% 1.7% 0.5%
1 9.1% 12.2% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.2% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKataller ToyamaSagan Tosu
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack25%50%
Defense42%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kataller Toyama Sagan Tosu
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins18%17%17%50%41%46%
Draws24%33%29%33%18%26%
Loses59%50%54%17%41%29%

Form: Kataller Toyama: WLWWDLLDDLLDDLDLDLLLWWLLDLLLLDLWLLD • Sagan Tosu: LLLDWWLWWDWLDWDWWDLDWWWLWLDLWWDWWLD

League goals

Metric Kataller Toyama Sagan Tosu
HATHAT
GF total141226242044
GF avg0.80.70.71.31.21.3
GA total222547191938
GA avg1.31.41.31.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKataller ToyamaSagan Tosu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%77%77%66%
1.517%46%40%29%
2.53%11%6%11%
3.50%0%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKataller ToyamaSagan Tosu
HATHAT
Clean sheets3587512
Failed to score7916358

Penalties

MetricKataller ToyamaSagan Tosu
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricKataller ToyamaSagan Tosu
Wins23
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-14-20-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-43-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricKataller ToyamaSagan Tosu
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sagan Tosu

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kataller Toyama = 0.69 (league 1.27), Sagan Tosu = 1.34 (league 1.17)

Sagan Tosu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kataller Toyama 0 13.1% 17.6% 11.7% 5.2% 1.7% 0.5%
1 9.1% 12.2% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.2% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 52.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1