J2 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 05:00 • Iwaki Greenfield
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.27) 0.75 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.7% 21.7% 14.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Iwaki 0 7.2% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.5% 10.2% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.9% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIwakiRenofa Yamaguchi
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack57%36%
Defense71%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Iwaki Renofa Yamaguchi
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins39%39%39%22%11%17%
Draws33%22%28%44%33%39%
Loses28%39%33%33%56%44%

Form: Iwaki: LDDDLLLLLWWWDDDLLWDWLWDDWLWWWDLWWWWL • Renofa Yamaguchi: LDWLDLLDDDLWLLLWDDDLDLDDLDLDWLLLDWWL

League goals

Metric Iwaki Renofa Yamaguchi
HATHAT
GF total302454191433
GF avg1.71.31.51.10.80.9
GA total202444202545
GA avg1.11.31.21.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIwakiRenofa Yamaguchi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%83%67%78%
1.544%28%25%44%
2.519%8%0%3%
3.511%3%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIwakiRenofa Yamaguchi
HATHAT
Clean sheets246538
Failed to score47114812

Penalties

MetricIwakiRenofa Yamaguchi
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricIwakiRenofa Yamaguchi
Wins42
Draws33
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-52-00-1
Biggest losses0-24-11-23-1
Goals For5522
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricIwakiRenofa Yamaguchi
Form63%37%
Att62%38%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Iwaki or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Iwaki = 1.87 (league 1.27), Renofa Yamaguchi = 0.75 (league 1.17)

Renofa Yamaguchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Iwaki 0 7.2% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.5% 10.2% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.9% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.7% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 14.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1