J2 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 05:00 • NACK5 Stadium Omiya
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.28) 0.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.7% 35.4% 40.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.3%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Tokushima Vortis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Omiya Ardija 0 21.3% 19.6% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.3% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOmiya ArdijaTokushima Vortis
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack86%64%
Defense79%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Omiya Ardija Tokushima Vortis
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins50%50%50%50%44%47%
Draws28%22%25%22%33%28%
Loses22%28%25%28%22%25%

Form: Omiya Ardija: WWWWLWLDWDWLDWWWDDDDDLLWLWWLLLWWWDWW • Tokushima Vortis: WWDDLDWLDLWWWLWWDWDWDLDWWLWDLLWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Omiya Ardija Tokushima Vortis
HATHAT
GF total292857202242
GF avg1.61.61.61.11.21.2
GA total17173413922
GA avg0.90.90.90.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOmiya ArdijaTokushima Vortis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%58%69%47%
1.553%28%31%11%
2.517%8%11%3%
3.58%0%6%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOmiya ArdijaTokushima Vortis
HATHAT
Clean sheets871591019
Failed to score2685611

Penalties

MetricOmiya ArdijaTokushima Vortis
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricOmiya ArdijaTokushima Vortis
Wins43
Draws52
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-10-4
Biggest losses2-32-10-22-1
Goals For5444
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricOmiya ArdijaTokushima Vortis
Form57%43%
Att57%43%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tokushima Vortis

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Omiya Ardija = 0.63 (league 1.28), Tokushima Vortis = 0.92 (league 1.17)

Tokushima Vortis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Omiya Ardija 0 21.3% 19.6% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.3% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 35.4% · Away win 40.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1