J2 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 05:00 • Yamaha Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.28) 1.43 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 23.2% 31.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Montedio Yamagata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jubilo Iwata 0 4.1% 5.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.2% 10.4% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.3% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJubilo IwataMontedio Yamagata
Played55
Form80%73%
Attack50%64%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jubilo Iwata Montedio Yamagata
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins61%39%50%39%39%39%
Draws6%28%17%22%17%19%
Loses33%33%33%39%44%42%

Form: Jubilo Iwata: WWLLWWWDDLLLDWWWDDWWLLWLLWWDWLLWLWWW • Montedio Yamagata: LLLWWDDDWLLDLWDLLLLWLWLWLWLWWLWWDDWW

League goals

Metric Jubilo Iwata Montedio Yamagata
HATHAT
GF total282755282654
GF avg1.61.51.51.61.41.5
GA total222648262551
GA avg1.21.41.31.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJubilo IwataMontedio Yamagata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%75%81%
1.539%39%47%42%
2.525%19%25%14%
3.58%8%3%6%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJubilo IwataMontedio Yamagata
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412527
Failed to score448549

Penalties

MetricJubilo IwataMontedio Yamagata
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricJubilo IwataMontedio Yamagata
Wins32
Draws23
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-43-01-3
Biggest losses0-43-10-43-1
Goals For5443
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricJubilo IwataMontedio Yamagata
Form52%48%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.03 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jubilo Iwata = 1.75 (league 1.28), Montedio Yamagata = 1.43 (league 1.17)

Montedio Yamagata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jubilo Iwata 0 4.1% 5.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.2% 10.4% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.3% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 31.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1