J2 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 04:05 • Peace Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.28) 1.11 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.9% 28.3% 33.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.9%
0 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mito Hollyhock
0 1 2 3 4 5
V-varen Nagasaki 0 10.0% 11.0% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.1% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricV-varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack85%38%
Defense85%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric V-varen Nagasaki Mito Hollyhock
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins56%44%50%50%56%53%
Draws33%33%33%33%22%28%
Loses11%22%17%17%22%19%

Form: V-varen Nagasaki: WDWDWWLLLDLDDWDWWLDWWWDDWWWWWDDWWDLW • Mito Hollyhock: LWDDDLWLWWDDWWWWWWWWDWWLWLDDDDWWLWWL

League goals

Metric V-varen Nagasaki Mito Hollyhock
HATHAT
GF total312960282452
GF avg1.71.61.71.61.31.4
GA total182442161632
GA avg1.01.31.20.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineV-varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%72%81%58%
1.550%25%47%25%
2.519%14%14%6%
3.58%6%3%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricV-varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock
HATHAT
Clean sheets73107815
Failed to score235437

Penalties

MetricV-varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricV-varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock
Wins58
Draws24
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-44-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-11-32-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricV-varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock
Form53%47%
Att69%31%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals52%48%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : V-varen Nagasaki or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away4.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.89 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): V-varen Nagasaki = 1.20 (league 1.28), Mito Hollyhock = 1.11 (league 1.17)

Mito Hollyhock
0 1 2 3 4 5
V-varen Nagasaki 0 10.0% 11.0% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.1% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1