J2 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 04:00 • Resonac Dome Oita
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.28) 0.75 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.0% 40.4% 37.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.5%
0 - 1
21.5%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
JEF United Chiba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oita Trinita 0 28.5% 21.5% 8.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.3% 10.8% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOita TrinitaJEF United Chiba
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack20%47%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oita Trinita JEF United Chiba
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins28%17%22%50%50%50%
Draws44%33%39%28%22%25%
Loses28%50%39%22%28%25%

Form: Oita Trinita: WDLDDDWDDLWWWLDLWDLLDLLLDLLDDWLDDWLL • JEF United Chiba: WWWWWWLWWWWDDLWDLDDLLLWDWWLWLWDLWDWD

League goals

Metric Oita Trinita JEF United Chiba
HATHAT
GF total141327302050
GF avg0.80.70.81.71.11.4
GA total152641201434
GA avg0.81.41.11.10.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOita TrinitaJEF United Chiba
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%64%69%64%
1.514%36%39%28%
2.53%11%19%3%
3.50%3%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOita TrinitaJEF United Chiba
HATHAT
Clean sheets94135813
Failed to score78155611

Penalties

MetricOita TrinitaJEF United Chiba
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricOita TrinitaJEF United Chiba
Wins36
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-22-1
Goals For2353
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricOita TrinitaJEF United Chiba
Form38%62%
Att30%70%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or JEF United Chiba and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away1.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oita Trinita = 0.50 (league 1.28), JEF United Chiba = 0.75 (league 1.17)

JEF United Chiba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oita Trinita 0 28.5% 21.5% 8.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.3% 10.8% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.0% · Draw 40.4% · Away win 37.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1