J2 League — Japan
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 05:00 • ND Soft Stadium Yamagata
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.28) 1.08 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.6% 24.7% 25.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fujieda MYFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montedio Yamagata 0 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.9% 11.7% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontedio YamagataFujieda MYFC
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack100%33%
Defense22%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montedio Yamagata Fujieda MYFC
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins39%37%38%32%17%24%
Draws22%21%22%32%33%32%
Loses39%42%41%37%50%43%

Form: Montedio Yamagata: LLLWWDDDWLLDLWDLLLLWLWLWLWLWWLWWDDWWD • Fujieda MYFC: LDWDWDWLLLLWLLLLDWWLDWDDDLWLDWLLLDLDD

League goals

Metric Montedio Yamagata Fujieda MYFC
HATHAT
GF total282856231740
GF avg1.61.51.51.20.91.1
GA total262753252348
GA avg1.41.41.41.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontedio YamagataFujieda MYFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%81%62%78%
1.549%43%30%41%
2.524%14%11%11%
3.53%5%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontedio YamagataFujieda MYFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets527358
Failed to score5497714

Penalties

MetricMontedio YamagataFujieda MYFC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricMontedio YamagataFujieda MYFC
Wins22
Draws33
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-12-4
Biggest losses0-43-11-33-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricMontedio YamagataFujieda MYFC
Form75%25%
Att75%25%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h60%40%
Goals54%46%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Montedio Yamagata or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ SBO
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montedio Yamagata = 1.63 (league 1.28), Fujieda MYFC = 1.08 (league 1.17)

Fujieda MYFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montedio Yamagata 0 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.9% 11.7% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 25.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1