J2 League — Japan
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 05:00 • Ishin Me-Life Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.28) 1.50 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 26.2% 54.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Omiya Ardija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Renofa Yamaguchi 0 10.3% 15.4% 11.6% 5.8% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.9% 11.9% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.1% 4.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRenofa YamaguchiOmiya Ardija
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack44%100%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Renofa Yamaguchi Omiya Ardija
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins22%11%16%47%50%49%
Draws44%37%41%26%22%24%
Loses33%53%43%26%28%27%

Form: Renofa Yamaguchi: LDWLDLLDDDLWLLLWDDDLDLDDLDLDWLLLDWWLD • Omiya Ardija: WWWWLWLDWDWLDWWWDDDDDLLWLWWLLLWWWDWWL

League goals

Metric Renofa Yamaguchi Omiya Ardija
HATHAT
GF total191433302858
GF avg1.10.70.91.61.61.6
GA total202545191736
GA avg1.11.31.21.00.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRenofa YamaguchiOmiya Ardija
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%76%78%59%
1.524%43%51%30%
2.50%3%16%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRenofa YamaguchiOmiya Ardija
HATHAT
Clean sheets5498715
Failed to score4913268

Penalties

MetricRenofa YamaguchiOmiya Ardija
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRenofa YamaguchiOmiya Ardija
Wins24
Draws35
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-15-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-12-32-1
Goals For2254
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricRenofa YamaguchiOmiya Ardija
Form44%56%
Att27%73%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h40%60%
Goals45%55%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Omiya Ardija

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away2.45 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Renofa Yamaguchi = 0.77 (league 1.28), Omiya Ardija = 1.50 (league 1.17)

Omiya Ardija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Renofa Yamaguchi 0 10.3% 15.4% 11.6% 5.8% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.9% 11.9% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.1% 4.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 54.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1