J2 League — Japan
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 05:00 • Pocarisweat Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.28) 0.96 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 30.0% 30.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
V-varen Nagasaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokushima Vortis 0 12.6% 12.0% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.9% 7.5% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTokushima VortisV-varen Nagasaki
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tokushima Vortis V-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins50%47%49%58%44%51%
Draws22%32%27%32%33%32%
Loses28%21%24%11%22%16%

Form: Tokushima Vortis: WWDDLDWLDLWWWLWWDWDWDLDWWLWDLLWWWLDWW • V-varen Nagasaki: WDWDWWLLLDLDDWDWWLDWWWDDWWWWWDDWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Tokushima Vortis V-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
GF total202444332962
GF avg1.11.31.21.71.61.7
GA total131023192443
GA avg0.70.50.61.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTokushima VortisV-varen Nagasaki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%49%86%73%
1.532%11%51%24%
2.511%3%19%14%
3.55%0%8%5%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTokushima VortisV-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
Clean sheets910197310
Failed to score5611235

Penalties

MetricTokushima VortisV-varen Nagasaki
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricTokushima VortisV-varen Nagasaki
Wins35
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-45-10-4
Biggest losses0-22-10-24-1
Goals For4454
Goals Against3244

Model comparison

MetricTokushima VortisV-varen Nagasaki
Form50%50%
Att48%52%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h29%71%
Goals26%74%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or V-varen Nagasaki

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tokushima Vortis = 1.12 (league 1.28), V-varen Nagasaki = 0.96 (league 1.17)

V-varen Nagasaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokushima Vortis 0 12.6% 12.0% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.9% 7.5% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 30.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1