J2 League — Japan
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 05:00 • Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.27) 1.43 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.2% 25.0% 37.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Jubilo Iwata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagan Tosu 0 5.7% 8.2% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.2% 11.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSagan TosuJubilo Iwata
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack44%89%
Defense33%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sagan Tosu Jubilo Iwata
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins50%37%43%58%39%49%
Draws33%21%27%11%28%19%
Loses17%42%30%32%33%32%

Form: Sagan Tosu: LLLDWWLWWDWLDWDWWDLDWWWLWLDLWWDWWLDLD • Jubilo Iwata: WWLLWWWDDLLLDWWWDDWWLLWLLWWDWLLWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Sagan Tosu Jubilo Iwata
HATHAT
GF total242145302757
GF avg1.31.11.21.61.51.5
GA total192241242650
GA avg1.11.21.11.31.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSagan TosuJubilo Iwata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%65%78%68%
1.538%30%41%41%
2.55%14%24%19%
3.53%3%8%8%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSagan TosuJubilo Iwata
HATHAT
Clean sheets76138412
Failed to score369448

Penalties

MetricSagan TosuJubilo Iwata
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricSagan TosuJubilo Iwata
Wins33
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-25-12-4
Biggest losses1-43-10-43-1
Goals For4354
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricSagan TosuJubilo Iwata
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sagan Tosu or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sagan Tosu = 1.43 (league 1.27), Jubilo Iwata = 1.43 (league 1.15)

Jubilo Iwata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagan Tosu 0 5.7% 8.2% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.2% 11.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 37.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1