Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 09:00 • City Football Station
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.41) 0.91 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.5% 31.0% 30.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
0 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tochigi City 0 14.0% 12.7% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.9% 7.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTochigi CityMatsumoto Yamaga
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack69%15%
Defense23%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tochigi City Matsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%54%56%38%25%32%
Draws25%23%24%31%33%32%
Loses17%23%20%31%42%36%

Form: Tochigi City: WLDWWWDDWWWDWLWWLWWWDLDLW • Matsumoto Yamaga: DLDWDLWLWWLDWLLWDLLWLWDDD

League goals

Metric Tochigi City Matsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
GF total182341151126
GF avg1.51.81.61.20.91.0
GA total131528161228
GA avg1.11.21.11.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTochigi CityMatsumoto Yamaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%72%68%64%
1.548%32%28%28%
2.520%4%8%12%
3.58%4%0%4%
4.58%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTochigi CityMatsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets347549
Failed to score235358

Penalties

MetricTochigi CityMatsumoto Yamaga
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricTochigi CityMatsumoto Yamaga
Wins32
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-53-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-00-53-1
Goals For3533
Goals Against2453

Model comparison

MetricTochigi CityMatsumoto Yamaga
Form45%55%
Att82%18%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total49.3%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Tochigi City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Betway

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ SBO
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betway
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tochigi City = 1.06 (league 1.41), Matsumoto Yamaga = 0.91 (league 1.09)

Matsumoto Yamaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tochigi City 0 14.0% 12.7% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.9% 7.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1