J3 League — Japan
Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 10:00 • Ishikawa Athletics Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.42) 0.95 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 29.6% 29.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kanazawa 0 12.1% 11.5% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKanazawaMatsumoto Yamaga
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack63%31%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kanazawa Matsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
Played141630151429
Wins50%38%43%40%21%31%
Draws7%25%17%33%29%31%
Loses43%38%40%27%50%38%

Form: Kanazawa: WDLWLWDWWLLLDLLLDWWDLLLWWWLWWW • Matsumoto Yamaga: DLDWDLWLWWLDWLLWDLLWLWDDDLWDL

League goals

Metric Kanazawa Matsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
GF total211839181331
GF avg1.51.11.31.20.91.1
GA total171936171633
GA avg1.21.21.21.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKanazawaMatsumoto Yamaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%87%69%66%
1.540%27%31%28%
2.510%7%7%14%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKanazawaMatsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets2246410
Failed to score336369

Penalties

MetricKanazawaMatsumoto Yamaga
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricKanazawaMatsumoto Yamaga
Wins32
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-00-3
Biggest losses2-33-10-53-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricKanazawaMatsumoto Yamaga
Form71%29%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals64%36%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Kanazawa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away4.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.89 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kanazawa = 1.16 (league 1.42), Matsumoto Yamaga = 0.95 (league 1.14)

Matsumoto Yamaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kanazawa 0 12.1% 11.5% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 29.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1