Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 10:00 • Hanazono Rugby Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.41) 0.71 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.6% 24.7% 16.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Kitakyushu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osaka 0 9.8% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 11.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.9% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOsakaKitakyushu
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack50%33%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Osaka Kitakyushu
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins71%31%52%43%38%41%
Draws21%23%22%21%8%15%
Loses7%46%26%36%54%44%

Form: Osaka: DWWWLWWLWWLWWWWDWDDDLWLDLLW • Kitakyushu: WLWWLWWLDLDWWDLWLLLLWWLLDLW

League goals

Metric Osaka Kitakyushu
HATHAT
GF total261238131427
GF avg1.90.91.40.91.11.0
GA total101323111627
GA avg0.71.00.90.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOsakaKitakyushu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%59%70%63%
1.530%22%22%22%
2.519%4%7%11%
3.57%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOsakaKitakyushu
HATHAT
Clean sheets74117310
Failed to score257358

Penalties

MetricOsakaKitakyushu
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricOsakaKitakyushu
Wins42
Draws31
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-10-32-01-3
Biggest losses0-22-01-34-0
Goals For7323
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricOsakaKitakyushu
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Osaka or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Osaka = 1.61 (league 1.41), Kitakyushu = 0.71 (league 1.09)

Kitakyushu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osaka 0 9.8% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 11.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.9% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 16.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1