J3 League — Japan
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 10:00 • Axis Bird Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.40) 0.93 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.9% 17.7% 13.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainare Tottori 0 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGainare TottoriThespakusatsu Gunma
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack43%86%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gainare Tottori Thespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins62%7%33%21%23%22%
Draws31%14%22%50%15%33%
Loses8%79%44%29%62%44%

Form: Gainare Tottori: LDDLLWLDLDWLLWWLWWWLWLWDLLD • Thespakusatsu Gunma: DWLLWLLDDLDWDDWDLLWDDLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Gainare Tottori Thespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
GF total19625142236
GF avg1.50.40.91.01.71.3
GA total82230132942
GA avg0.61.61.10.92.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGainare TottoriThespakusatsu Gunma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%67%67%70%
1.526%30%48%44%
2.57%15%15%30%
3.54%0%4%7%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGainare TottoriThespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
Clean sheets819718
Failed to score21012729

Penalties

MetricGainare TottoriThespakusatsu Gunma
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGainare TottoriThespakusatsu Gunma
Wins31
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-02-4
Biggest losses1-23-00-25-2
Goals For4234
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricGainare TottoriThespakusatsu Gunma
Form63%38%
Att33%67%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Gainare Tottori or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away2.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gainare Tottori = 2.36 (league 1.40), Thespakusatsu Gunma = 0.93 (league 1.10)

Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainare Tottori 0 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 13.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1