Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 10:00 • Shiranami Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.41) 1.07 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.2% 21.8% 20.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kagoshima United 0 4.9% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.2% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.0% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKagoshima UnitedTegevajaro Miyazaki
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense57%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kagoshima United Tegevajaro Miyazaki
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins64%38%52%50%46%48%
Draws21%46%33%29%31%30%
Loses14%15%15%21%23%22%

Form: Kagoshima United: DLWWDWDWDDLWWLWDDLWDWWWWDWW • Tegevajaro Miyazaki: LWWDLWDDWDWWDDWDWWLDLLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Kagoshima United Tegevajaro Miyazaki
HATHAT
GF total351954211738
GF avg2.51.52.01.51.31.4
GA total131528161430
GA avg0.91.21.01.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKagoshima UnitedTegevajaro Miyazaki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%78%70%
1.552%33%41%30%
2.530%4%19%11%
3.515%0%4%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKagoshima UnitedTegevajaro Miyazaki
HATHAT
Clean sheets549448
Failed to score033336

Penalties

MetricKagoshima UnitedTegevajaro Miyazaki
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricKagoshima UnitedTegevajaro Miyazaki
Wins43
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-34-22-3
Biggest losses1-23-01-33-2
Goals For6343
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricKagoshima UnitedTegevajaro Miyazaki
Form52%48%
Att63%37%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h25%75%
Goals44%56%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Kagoshima United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away4.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kagoshima United = 1.95 (league 1.41), Tegevajaro Miyazaki = 1.07 (league 1.09)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kagoshima United 0 4.9% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.2% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.0% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 20.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1