J3 League — Japan
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 04:00 • TOHO Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.61 (league 1.41) 0.96 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.6% 15.8% 11.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.2%
3 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Parceiro Nagano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fukushima United 0 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.2% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 8.0% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFukushima UnitedParceiro Nagano
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack67%27%
Defense60%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fukushima United Parceiro Nagano
HATHAT
Played131528131528
Wins31%40%36%31%13%21%
Draws46%13%29%38%20%29%
Loses23%47%36%31%67%50%

Form: Fukushima United: DLWWLWDWLDWLLDWDLLLWDLDWDWWL • Parceiro Nagano: WLWLWLLDLDLDDWLLWLDDWLLLDLDL

League goals

Metric Fukushima United Parceiro Nagano
HATHAT
GF total30174714721
GF avg2.31.11.71.10.50.8
GA total272855142438
GA avg2.11.92.01.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFukushima UnitedParceiro Nagano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%61%71%
1.557%57%11%43%
2.521%29%4%11%
3.57%14%0%4%
4.50%7%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFukushima UnitedParceiro Nagano
HATHAT
Clean sheets235448
Failed to score1452911

Penalties

MetricFukushima UnitedParceiro Nagano
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricFukushima UnitedParceiro Nagano
Wins21
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-1
Biggest losses2-47-11-36-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against4736

Model comparison

MetricFukushima UnitedParceiro Nagano
Form83%17%
Att71%29%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Winner : Fukushima United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Unibet
No2.31 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fukushima United = 2.61 (league 1.41), Parceiro Nagano = 0.96 (league 1.09)

Parceiro Nagano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fukushima United 0 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.2% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 8.0% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.6% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 11.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1