J3 League — Japan
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 10:00 • Shoda Shoyu Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.40) 0.90 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 30.2% 28.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sagamihara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0 13.0% 11.7% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.3% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.5% 7.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThespakusatsu GunmaSagamihara
Played55
Form0%60%
Attack42%42%
Defense8%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Thespakusatsu Gunma Sagamihara
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins21%21%21%43%21%32%
Draws50%14%32%29%36%32%
Loses29%64%46%29%43%36%

Form: Thespakusatsu Gunma: DWLLWLLDDLDWDDWDLLWDDLWLLLLL • Sagamihara: LWLWDLDLDDDWLDLDDWDLWWLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Thespakusatsu Gunma Sagamihara
HATHAT
GF total142337131528
GF avg1.01.61.30.91.11.0
GA total133245152338
GA avg0.92.31.61.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThespakusatsu GunmaSagamihara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%71%68%75%
1.546%46%25%36%
2.514%32%7%14%
3.54%7%0%7%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThespakusatsu GunmaSagamihara
HATHAT
Clean sheets718527
Failed to score729459

Penalties

MetricThespakusatsu GunmaSagamihara
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricThespakusatsu GunmaSagamihara
Wins13
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-43-10-2
Biggest losses0-25-20-53-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against3554

Model comparison

MetricThespakusatsu GunmaSagamihara
Form0%100%
Att50%50%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h75%25%
Goals70%30%
Total58.4%41.6%

Advice: Double chance : Thespakusatsu Gunma or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Betano
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Thespakusatsu Gunma = 1.14 (league 1.40), Sagamihara = 0.90 (league 1.10)

Sagamihara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0 13.0% 11.7% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.3% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.5% 7.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 28.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1