J3 League — Japan
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 10:00 • Ichigo Miyazaki Shintomi Soccer Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.40) 0.98 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.4% 24.9% 23.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
FC Ryukyu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 7.5% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.0% 11.8% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiFC Ryukyu
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack58%50%
Defense42%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki FC Ryukyu
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins50%43%46%50%14%32%
Draws29%29%29%14%36%25%
Loses21%29%25%36%50%43%

Form: Tegevajaro Miyazaki: LWWDLWDDWDWWDDWDWWLDLLWWWLWL • FC Ryukyu: DLLLLWDWDDLLLWLLWWLWDWDDLWWL

League goals

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki FC Ryukyu
HATHAT
GF total211738151429
GF avg1.51.21.41.11.01.0
GA total161632132134
GA avg1.11.11.10.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTegevajaro MiyazakiFC Ryukyu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%71%68%75%
1.539%32%29%29%
2.518%11%7%14%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiFC Ryukyu
HATHAT
Clean sheets448527
Failed to score347459

Penalties

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiFC Ryukyu
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiFC Ryukyu
Wins32
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-00-34-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiFC Ryukyu
Form56%44%
Att54%46%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tegevajaro Miyazaki = 1.61 (league 1.40), FC Ryukyu = 0.98 (league 1.12)

FC Ryukyu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 7.5% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.0% 11.8% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 23.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1