J3 League — Japan
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 05:00 • Kanseki Stadium Tochigi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.39) 0.96 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.2% 30.9% 32.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Kitakyushu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tochigi SC 0 13.6% 13.1% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.5% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.2% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTochigi SCKitakyushu
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack77%38%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tochigi SC Kitakyushu
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins50%33%41%40%43%41%
Draws14%33%24%20%7%14%
Loses36%33%34%40%50%45%

Form: Tochigi SC: WLLDWLDLWLDWDWLDLWLLLWWWDWWWD • Kitakyushu: WLWWLWWLDLDWWDLWLLLLWWLLDLWWL

League goals

Metric Tochigi SC Kitakyushu
HATHAT
GF total181331131730
GF avg1.30.91.10.91.21.0
GA total131528131629
GA avg0.91.01.00.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTochigi SCKitakyushu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%62%69%62%
1.517%28%24%24%
2.514%3%10%10%
3.53%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTochigi SCKitakyushu
HATHAT
Clean sheets47117411
Failed to score358459

Penalties

MetricTochigi SCKitakyushu
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricTochigi SCKitakyushu
Wins32
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-32-00-3
Biggest losses1-24-11-34-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricTochigi SCKitakyushu
Form61%39%
Att67%33%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : Tochigi SC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away4.05 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tochigi SC = 1.03 (league 1.39), Kitakyushu = 0.96 (league 1.12)

Kitakyushu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tochigi SC 0 13.6% 13.1% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.5% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.2% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.2% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 32.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1