J3 League — Japan
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 09:00 • Sagamihara Gion Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.41) 0.71 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.0% 44.4% 40.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.9%
0 - 1
25.3%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vanraure Hachinohe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 35.9% 25.3% 9.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.4% 8.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSagamiharaVanraure Hachinohe
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack25%15%
Defense55%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sagamihara Vanraure Hachinohe
HATHAT
Played141529161329
Wins43%20%31%75%46%62%
Draws29%40%34%19%23%21%
Loses29%40%34%6%31%17%

Form: Sagamihara: LWLWDLDLDDDWLDLDDWDLWWLWWWLLD • Vanraure Hachinohe: WDLLWDWLWWWDLWWDWWWWWWWDDWLWW

League goals

Metric Sagamihara Vanraure Hachinohe
HATHAT
GF total13162927936
GF avg0.91.11.01.70.71.2
GA total15243910717
GA avg1.11.61.30.60.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSagamiharaVanraure Hachinohe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%76%83%45%
1.524%34%24%14%
2.57%14%10%0%
3.50%7%3%0%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSagamiharaVanraure Hachinohe
HATHAT
Clean sheets5279716
Failed to score459145

Penalties

MetricSagamiharaVanraure Hachinohe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSagamiharaVanraure Hachinohe
Wins37
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-25-10-1
Biggest losses0-53-01-22-1
Goals For3351
Goals Against5422

Model comparison

MetricSagamiharaVanraure Hachinohe
Form41%59%
Att63%38%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.3%58.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vanraure Hachinohe and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away1.98 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.73 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sagamihara = 0.32 (league 1.41), Vanraure Hachinohe = 0.71 (league 1.09)

Vanraure Hachinohe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 35.9% 25.3% 9.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.4% 8.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.0% · Draw 44.4% · Away win 40.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1