J3 League — Japan
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 05:00 • Nagano U Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.39) 0.98 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 31.5% 35.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.4%
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Kanazawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parceiro Nagano 0 14.4% 14.2% 7.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.5% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParceiro NaganoKanazawa
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack47%47%
Defense59%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parceiro Nagano Kanazawa
HATHAT
Played131629131528
Wins31%19%24%46%33%39%
Draws38%19%28%8%27%18%
Loses31%63%48%46%40%43%

Form: Parceiro Nagano: WLWLWLLDLDLDDWLLWLDDWLLLDLDLW • Kanazawa: WDLWLWDWWLLLDLLLDWWDLLLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Parceiro Nagano Kanazawa
HATHAT
GF total141125181533
GF avg1.10.70.91.41.01.2
GA total142539161834
GA avg1.11.61.31.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParceiro NaganoKanazawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%72%79%86%
1.514%41%36%29%
2.57%10%4%7%
3.53%3%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParceiro NaganoKanazawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets448224
Failed to score2911336

Penalties

MetricParceiro NaganoKanazawa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricParceiro NaganoKanazawa
Wins13
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-11-2
Biggest losses1-36-02-33-1
Goals For3432
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricParceiro NaganoKanazawa
Form29%71%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%63%
Total40.0%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kanazawa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.45 @ 10Bet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away2.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parceiro Nagano = 0.95 (league 1.39), Kanazawa = 0.98 (league 1.12)

Kanazawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parceiro Nagano 0 14.4% 14.2% 7.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.5% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 35.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1