Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 05:00 • Axis Bird Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.41) 0.49 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.5% 32.3% 16.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.3%
0 - 0
19.7%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainare Tottori 0 19.7% 9.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.3% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGainare TottoriOsaka
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack50%30%
Defense30%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gainare Tottori Osaka
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins64%7%34%67%29%48%
Draws29%13%21%20%29%24%
Loses7%80%45%13%43%28%

Form: Gainare Tottori: LDDLLWLDLDWLLWWLWWWLWLWDLLDWL • Osaka: DWWWLWWLWWLWWWWDWDDDLWLDLLWLD

League goals

Metric Gainare Tottori Osaka
HATHAT
GF total22628261339
GF avg1.60.41.01.70.91.3
GA total92332131427
GA avg0.61.51.10.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGainare TottoriOsaka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%69%72%62%
1.528%28%28%24%
2.510%14%17%7%
3.53%0%7%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGainare TottoriOsaka
HATHAT
Clean sheets8197411
Failed to score21113358

Penalties

MetricGainare TottoriOsaka
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGainare TottoriOsaka
Wins34
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-27-10-3
Biggest losses1-23-00-32-0
Goals For4273
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricGainare TottoriOsaka
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total52.8%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Gainare Tottori or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.58 @ Pinnacle
Away2.04 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gainare Tottori = 1.13 (league 1.41), Osaka = 0.49 (league 1.09)

Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainare Tottori 0 19.7% 9.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.3% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 16.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1