Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 09:00 • Shiranami Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.41) 1.32 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 22.0% 25.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tochigi City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kagoshima United 0 3.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.8% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.7% 6.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKagoshima UnitedTochigi City
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack50%60%
Defense80%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kagoshima United Tochigi City
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins67%36%52%67%50%59%
Draws20%43%31%20%21%21%
Loses13%21%17%13%29%21%

Form: Kagoshima United: DLWWDWDWDDLWWLWDDLWDWWWWDWWWL • Tochigi City: WLDWWWDDWWWDWLWWLWWWDLDLWWLWW

League goals

Metric Kagoshima United Tochigi City
HATHAT
GF total371956252348
GF avg2.51.41.91.71.61.7
GA total131629151631
GA avg0.91.11.01.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKagoshima UnitedTochigi City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%66%79%69%
1.552%31%48%31%
2.528%3%24%3%
3.514%0%7%3%
4.510%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKagoshima UnitedTochigi City
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410549
Failed to score044246

Penalties

MetricKagoshima UnitedTochigi City
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricKagoshima UnitedTochigi City
Wins43
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-33-00-5
Biggest losses1-23-01-22-0
Goals For6335
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricKagoshima UnitedTochigi City
Form45%55%
Att45%55%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total49.4%50.6%

Advice: Double chance : Kagoshima United or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Betano
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away3.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kagoshima United = 1.95 (league 1.41), Tochigi City = 1.32 (league 1.09)

Tochigi City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kagoshima United 0 3.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.8% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.7% 6.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 25.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1