J3 League — Japan
Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 05:00 • Kanseki Stadium Tochigi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.39) 0.88 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.6% 24.5% 20.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fukushima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tochigi SC 0 8.0% 7.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.1% 11.6% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.5% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTochigi SCFukushima United
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack60%53%
Defense67%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tochigi SC Fukushima United
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins47%33%40%33%40%37%
Draws13%33%23%40%13%27%
Loses40%33%37%27%47%37%

Form: Tochigi SC: WLLDWLDLWLDWDWLDLWLLLWWWDWWWDL • Fukushima United: DLWWLWDWLDWLLDWDLLLWDLDWDWWLLW

League goals

Metric Tochigi SC Fukushima United
HATHAT
GF total181331321749
GF avg1.20.91.02.11.11.6
GA total141529312859
GA avg0.91.01.02.11.92.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTochigi SCFukushima United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%63%83%80%
1.517%27%53%57%
2.513%3%20%30%
3.53%3%7%17%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTochigi SCFukushima United
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711336
Failed to score459145

Penalties

MetricTochigi SCFukushima United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricTochigi SCFukushima United
Wins32
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-11-47-1
Goals For4342
Goals Against2447

Model comparison

MetricTochigi SCFukushima United
Form53%47%
Att53%47%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total60.7%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Tochigi SC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Unibet
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away4.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tochigi SC = 1.64 (league 1.39), Fukushima United = 0.88 (league 1.12)

Fukushima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tochigi SC 0 8.0% 7.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.1% 11.6% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.5% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 20.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1