J3 League — Japan
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 10:30 • Sunpro Alwin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.39) 1.71 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.8% 23.8% 54.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matsumoto Yamaga 0 6.9% 11.9% 10.2% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.1% 5.4% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMatsumoto YamagaTegevajaro Miyazaki
Played55
Form0%73%
Attack20%100%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.616 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Matsumoto Yamaga Tegevajaro Miyazaki
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins38%18%27%47%50%48%
Draws31%24%27%35%25%30%
Loses31%59%45%18%25%21%

Form: Matsumoto Yamaga: DLDWDLWLWWLDWLLWDLLWLWDDDLWDLLLLL • Tegevajaro Miyazaki: LWWDLWDDWDWWDDWDWWLDLLWWWLWLWWDWD

League goals

Metric Matsumoto Yamaga Tegevajaro Miyazaki
HATHAT
GF total191534282654
GF avg1.20.91.01.61.61.6
GA total192140211839
GA avg1.21.21.21.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMatsumoto YamagaTegevajaro Miyazaki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%70%79%76%
1.530%30%45%33%
2.56%15%24%9%
3.50%3%12%0%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMatsumoto YamagaTegevajaro Miyazaki
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410448
Failed to score3811347

Penalties

MetricMatsumoto YamagaTegevajaro Miyazaki
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricMatsumoto YamagaTegevajaro Miyazaki
Wins23
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-21-5
Biggest losses0-53-11-32-0
Goals For3345
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricMatsumoto YamagaTegevajaro Miyazaki
Form0%100%
Att16%84%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h85%15%
Goals71%29%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Winner : Tegevajaro Miyazaki

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.98 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Matsumoto Yamaga = 0.95 (league 1.39), Tegevajaro Miyazaki = 1.71 (league 1.12)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matsumoto Yamaga 0 6.9% 11.9% 10.2% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.1% 5.4% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.8% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 54.5%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1