J3 League — Japan
Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 05:00 • Nagano U Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.42) 1.16 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.0% 27.0% 32.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
11.0%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parceiro Nagano 0 8.4% 9.7% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.8% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParceiro NaganoKamatamare Sanuki
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack50%56%
Defense44%6%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.815 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parceiro Nagano Kamatamare Sanuki
HATHAT
Played141630151530
Wins29%19%23%40%7%23%
Draws36%19%27%13%33%23%
Loses36%63%50%47%60%53%

Form: Parceiro Nagano: WLWLWLLDLDLDDWLLWLDDWLLLDLDLWL • Kamatamare Sanuki: DWDLWLDDLLLWWLLDLLLWLLDDWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Parceiro Nagano Kamatamare Sanuki
HATHAT
GF total151126191635
GF avg1.10.70.91.31.11.2
GA total172542222547
GA avg1.21.61.41.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParceiro NaganoKamatamare Sanuki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%73%70%87%
1.513%43%30%40%
2.57%13%13%17%
3.53%3%3%10%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParceiro NaganoKamatamare Sanuki
HATHAT
Clean sheets448314
Failed to score2911459

Penalties

MetricParceiro NaganoKamatamare Sanuki
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricParceiro NaganoKamatamare Sanuki
Wins12
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-10-2
Biggest losses1-36-01-54-2
Goals For3443
Goals Against3654

Model comparison

MetricParceiro NaganoKamatamare Sanuki
Form57%43%
Att47%53%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total59.0%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Parceiro Nagano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parceiro Nagano = 1.32 (league 1.42), Kamatamare Sanuki = 1.16 (league 1.14)

Kamatamare Sanuki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parceiro Nagano 0 8.4% 9.7% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.8% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.0% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 32.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1