J3 League — Japan
Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 10:00 • Hanazono Rugby Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.41) 0.87 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 20.3% 14.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC Ryukyu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osaka 0 5.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOsakaFC Ryukyu
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack42%58%
Defense42%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Osaka FC Ryukyu
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins67%33%50%47%13%30%
Draws20%27%23%13%33%23%
Loses13%40%27%40%53%47%

Form: Osaka: DWWWLWWLWWLWWWWDWDDDLWLDLLWLDW • FC Ryukyu: DLLLLWDWDDLLLWLLWWLWDWDDLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Osaka FC Ryukyu
HATHAT
GF total261541151631
GF avg1.71.01.41.01.11.0
GA total131528152540
GA avg0.91.00.91.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOsakaFC Ryukyu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%63%67%77%
1.530%23%30%33%
2.517%7%7%17%
3.57%0%0%7%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOsakaFC Ryukyu
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411527
Failed to score3585510

Penalties

MetricOsakaFC Ryukyu
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricOsakaFC Ryukyu
Wins42
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-10-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-00-34-1
Goals For7333
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricOsakaFC Ryukyu
Form54%46%
Att42%58%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Double chance : Osaka or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away5.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Osaka = 2.05 (league 1.41), FC Ryukyu = 0.87 (league 1.14)

FC Ryukyu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osaka 0 5.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.1% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 14.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1