Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 05:00 • Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.41) 1.15 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.3% 31.1% 46.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Kagoshima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitakyushu 0 15.7% 18.1% 10.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
1 11.0% 12.7% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.8% 4.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKitakyushuKagoshima United
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack36%57%
Defense79%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kitakyushu Kagoshima United
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins40%47%43%63%36%50%
Draws20%7%13%19%43%30%
Loses40%47%43%19%21%20%

Form: Kitakyushu: WLWWLWWLDLDWWDLWLLLLWWLLDLWWLW • Kagoshima United: DLWWDWDWDDLWWLWDDLWDWWWWDWWWLL

League goals

Metric Kitakyushu Kagoshima United
HATHAT
GF total131831371956
GF avg0.91.21.02.31.41.9
GA total131629161632
GA avg0.91.11.01.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKitakyushuKagoshima United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%60%83%67%
1.523%23%50%33%
2.510%10%27%7%
3.50%3%13%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKitakyushuKagoshima United
HATHAT
Clean sheets75126410
Failed to score459145

Penalties

MetricKitakyushuKagoshima United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricKitakyushuKagoshima United
Wins24
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-36-01-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-33-0
Goals For2363
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricKitakyushuKagoshima United
Form50%50%
Att38%62%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h15%85%
Goals30%70%
Total39.3%60.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kagoshima United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.45 @ 10Bet
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away2.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kitakyushu = 0.70 (league 1.41), Kagoshima United = 1.15 (league 1.09)

Kagoshima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitakyushu 0 15.7% 18.1% 10.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
1 11.0% 12.7% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.8% 4.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.3% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 46.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1