Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 05:00 • Sagamihara Gion Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.41) 0.91 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 34.9% 38.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
18.2%
1 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 20.0% 18.2% 8.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.0% 12.7% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSagamiharaMatsumoto Yamaga
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack15%38%
Defense15%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sagamihara Matsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
Played151631151530
Wins40%19%29%40%20%30%
Draws27%38%32%33%27%30%
Loses33%44%39%27%53%40%

Form: Sagamihara: LWLWDLDLDDDWLDLDDWDLWWLWWWLLDLL • Matsumoto Yamaga: DLDWDLWLWWLDWLLWDLLWLWDDDLWDLL

League goals

Metric Sagamihara Matsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
GF total131730181331
GF avg0.91.11.01.20.91.0
GA total162642171734
GA avg1.11.61.41.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSagamiharaMatsumoto Yamaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%77%67%67%
1.523%35%30%27%
2.56%13%7%13%
3.50%6%0%3%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSagamiharaMatsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets5276410
Failed to score55103710

Penalties

MetricSagamiharaMatsumoto Yamaga
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricSagamiharaMatsumoto Yamaga
Wins32
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-53-00-53-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against5453

Model comparison

MetricSagamiharaMatsumoto Yamaga
Form20%80%
Att29%71%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total30.8%69.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Matsumoto Yamaga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.24 @ Pinnacle
Away2.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sagamihara = 0.70 (league 1.41), Matsumoto Yamaga = 0.91 (league 1.09)

Matsumoto Yamaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 20.0% 18.2% 8.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.0% 12.7% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 38.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1