J3 League — Japan
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 05:00 • Ashitaka Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.39) 0.98 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 31.6% 35.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.7%
0 - 1
14.4%
1 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Azul Claro Numazu 0 14.7% 14.4% 7.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.5% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.4% 6.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAzul Claro NumazuOsaka
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack31%54%
Defense46%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Azul Claro Numazu Osaka
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins27%6%16%69%33%52%
Draws33%25%29%19%27%23%
Loses40%69%55%13%40%26%

Form: Azul Claro Numazu: WDDDLLDDLDLLDDWLLLWDLLLLLLLWLWL • Osaka: DWWWLWWLWWLWWWWDWDDDLWLDLLWLDWW

League goals

Metric Azul Claro Numazu Osaka
HATHAT
GF total191433291544
GF avg1.30.91.11.81.01.4
GA total172845131528
GA avg1.11.81.50.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAzul Claro NumazuOsaka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%71%74%61%
1.523%39%32%23%
2.516%26%19%6%
3.56%6%6%0%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAzul Claro NumazuOsaka
HATHAT
Clean sheets6398412
Failed to score6612358

Penalties

MetricAzul Claro NumazuOsaka
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAzul Claro NumazuOsaka
Wins14
Draws33
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-17-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-32-0
Goals For4373
Goals Against5432

Model comparison

MetricAzul Claro NumazuOsaka
Form38%63%
Att36%64%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total37.3%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Osaka

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away1.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Azul Claro Numazu = 0.94 (league 1.39), Osaka = 0.98 (league 1.12)

Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Azul Claro Numazu 0 14.7% 14.4% 7.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.5% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.4% 6.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 35.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1