J3 League — Japan
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 05:00 • Konoike Athletic Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.39) 0.56 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.0% 18.3% 8.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.4%
1 - 0
14.8%
3 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Parceiro Nagano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nara Club 0 7.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.8% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.7% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNara ClubParceiro Nagano
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack23%62%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nara Club Parceiro Nagano
HATHAT
Played161531151631
Wins63%20%42%33%19%26%
Draws25%33%29%33%19%26%
Loses13%47%29%33%63%48%

Form: Nara Club: DLWWDWDDLWWLDLLWWDWLDWWWDWLLDWL • Parceiro Nagano: WLWLWLLDLDLDDWLLWLDDWLLLDLDLWLW

League goals

Metric Nara Club Parceiro Nagano
HATHAT
GF total281341161127
GF avg1.80.91.31.10.70.9
GA total152136172542
GA avg0.91.41.21.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNara ClubParceiro Nagano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%77%65%71%
1.539%26%13%42%
2.513%13%6%13%
3.56%0%3%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNara ClubParceiro Nagano
HATHAT
Clean sheets527549
Failed to score3582911

Penalties

MetricNara ClubParceiro Nagano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNara ClubParceiro Nagano
Wins31
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-23-01-36-0
Goals For4234
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricNara ClubParceiro Nagano
Form36%64%
Att27%73%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h62%38%
Goals70%30%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Nara Club or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nara Club = 2.08 (league 1.39), Parceiro Nagano = 0.56 (league 1.12)

Parceiro Nagano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nara Club 0 7.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.8% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.7% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1