J3 League — Japan
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 05:00 • Ichigo Miyazaki Shintomi Soccer Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.42) 1.80 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.0% 23.1% 47.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tochigi City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 4.4% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.8% 10.5% 9.4% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.9% 6.9% 6.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiTochigi City
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack86%71%
Defense43%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tochigi City
HATHAT
Played151530161531
Wins53%47%50%69%53%61%
Draws27%27%27%19%20%19%
Loses20%27%23%13%27%19%

Form: Tegevajaro Miyazaki: LWWDLWDDWDWWDDWDWWLDLLWWWLWLWW • Tochigi City: WLDWWWDDWWWDWLWWLWWWDLDLWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tochigi City
HATHAT
GF total252247282654
GF avg1.71.51.61.81.71.7
GA total181735151631
GA avg1.21.11.20.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTegevajaro MiyazakiTochigi City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%73%81%65%
1.543%33%52%29%
2.523%10%29%3%
3.510%0%6%3%
4.53%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiTochigi City
HATHAT
Clean sheets4486511
Failed to score347246

Penalties

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiTochigi City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiTochigi City
Wins33
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-53-00-5
Biggest losses1-32-01-22-0
Goals For4535
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiTochigi City
Form43%57%
Att55%45%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tochigi City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away2.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tegevajaro Miyazaki = 1.32 (league 1.42), Tochigi City = 1.80 (league 1.14)

Tochigi City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 4.4% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.8% 10.5% 9.4% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.9% 6.9% 6.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 47.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1