Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 06:00 • Shiranami Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.41) 0.37 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.4% 12.8% 4.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.0%
1 - 0
14.7%
3 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Gainare Tottori
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kagoshima United 0 6.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.7% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 6.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.9% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKagoshima UnitedGainare Tottori
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack45%64%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kagoshima United Gainare Tottori
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins63%33%48%63%7%35%
Draws19%47%32%25%13%19%
Loses19%20%19%13%80%45%

Form: Kagoshima United: DLWWDWDWDDLWWLWDDLWDWWWWDWWWLLD • Gainare Tottori: LDDLLWLDLDWLLWWLWWWLWLWDLLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Kagoshima United Gainare Tottori
HATHAT
GF total37205725631
GF avg2.31.31.81.60.41.0
GA total161733122335
GA avg1.01.11.10.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKagoshima UnitedGainare Tottori
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%68%58%71%
1.548%32%29%29%
2.526%6%10%13%
3.513%0%3%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKagoshima UnitedGainare Tottori
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410819
Failed to score14521113

Penalties

MetricKagoshima UnitedGainare Tottori
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricKagoshima UnitedGainare Tottori
Wins43
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-01-23-0
Goals For6342
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricKagoshima UnitedGainare Tottori
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h38%62%
Goals20%80%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gainare Tottori

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.23 @ Pinnacle
Away6.54 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kagoshima United = 2.44 (league 1.41), Gainare Tottori = 0.37 (league 1.09)

Gainare Tottori
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kagoshima United 0 6.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.7% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 6.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.9% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.4% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 4.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1