J3 League — Japan
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 05:00 • Sunpro Alwin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.42) 0.97 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 27.5% 26.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matsumoto Yamaga 0 9.8% 9.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMatsumoto YamagaKamatamare Sanuki
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack23%38%
Defense69%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Matsumoto Yamaga Kamatamare Sanuki
HATHAT
Played151631161632
Wins40%19%29%38%6%22%
Draws33%25%29%13%31%22%
Loses27%56%42%50%63%56%

Form: Matsumoto Yamaga: DLDWDLWLWWLDWLLWDLLWLWDDDLWDLLL • Kamatamare Sanuki: DWDLWLDDLLLWWLLDLLLWLLDDWLLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Matsumoto Yamaga Kamatamare Sanuki
HATHAT
GF total181331201636
GF avg1.20.81.01.31.01.1
GA total171835262652
GA avg1.11.11.11.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMatsumoto YamagaKamatamare Sanuki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%68%69%88%
1.529%26%28%41%
2.56%13%13%19%
3.50%3%3%13%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMatsumoto YamagaKamatamare Sanuki
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410314
Failed to score38114610

Penalties

MetricMatsumoto YamagaKamatamare Sanuki
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricMatsumoto YamagaKamatamare Sanuki
Wins22
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-53-11-54-2
Goals For3343
Goals Against5354

Model comparison

MetricMatsumoto YamagaKamatamare Sanuki
Form57%43%
Att38%63%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h93%7%
Goals83%17%
Total67.2%33.0%

Advice: Double chance : Matsumoto Yamaga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Dafabet
Draw3.40 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Matsumoto Yamaga = 1.35 (league 1.42), Kamatamare Sanuki = 0.97 (league 1.14)

Kamatamare Sanuki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matsumoto Yamaga 0 9.8% 9.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1