J3 League — Japan
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 05:00 • Nagano U Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.39) 0.88 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 27.0% 23.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Azul Claro Numazu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parceiro Nagano 0 9.9% 8.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.1% 12.5% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.9% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParceiro NaganoAzul Claro Numazu
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack44%31%
Defense50%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parceiro Nagano Azul Claro Numazu
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins33%18%25%25%6%16%
Draws33%18%25%31%25%28%
Loses33%65%50%44%69%56%

Form: Parceiro Nagano: WLWLWLLDLDLDDWLLWLDDWLLLDLDLWLWL • Azul Claro Numazu: WDDDLLDDLDLLDDWLLLWDLLLLLLLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Parceiro Nagano Azul Claro Numazu
HATHAT
GF total161127201434
GF avg1.10.60.81.30.91.1
GA total172744192847
GA avg1.11.61.41.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParceiro NaganoAzul Claro Numazu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%72%63%72%
1.513%44%22%41%
2.56%13%16%25%
3.53%3%6%6%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParceiro NaganoAzul Claro Numazu
HATHAT
Clean sheets549639
Failed to score210126612

Penalties

MetricParceiro NaganoAzul Claro Numazu
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricParceiro NaganoAzul Claro Numazu
Wins11
Draws23
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-00-1
Biggest losses1-36-01-33-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against3654

Model comparison

MetricParceiro NaganoAzul Claro Numazu
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h62%38%
Goals70%30%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Parceiro Nagano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Dafabet
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Superbet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Parceiro Nagano = 1.43 (league 1.39), Azul Claro Numazu = 0.88 (league 1.12)

Azul Claro Numazu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parceiro Nagano 0 9.9% 8.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.1% 12.5% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.9% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 23.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1