J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 05:00 • Toho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.39) 1.96 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.0% 21.9% 48.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fukushima United 0 3.3% 6.5% 6.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
1 4.8% 9.4% 9.2% 6.0% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.8% 6.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFukushima UnitedOsaka
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack25%50%
Defense56%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fukushima United Osaka
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins31%41%36%65%38%52%
Draws38%12%24%18%25%21%
Loses31%47%39%18%38%27%

Form: Fukushima United: DLWWLWDWLDWLLDWDLLLWDLDWDWWLLWLWL • Osaka: DWWWLWWLWWLWWWWDWDDDLWLDLLWLDWWWL

League goals

Metric Fukushima United Osaka
HATHAT
GF total321951291746
GF avg2.01.11.51.71.11.4
GA total323062141630
GA avg2.01.81.90.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFukushima UnitedOsaka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%82%73%64%
1.552%52%33%21%
2.518%27%18%6%
3.56%15%6%0%
4.50%6%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFukushima UnitedOsaka
HATHAT
Clean sheets3368412
Failed to score257459

Penalties

MetricFukushima UnitedOsaka
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFukushima UnitedOsaka
Wins24
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-27-10-3
Biggest losses1-47-10-32-0
Goals For4273
Goals Against4732

Model comparison

MetricFukushima UnitedOsaka
Form38%63%
Att33%67%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total37.2%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Osaka

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.71 @ 1xBet
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away1.91 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fukushima United = 1.44 (league 1.39), Osaka = 1.96 (league 1.12)

Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fukushima United 0 3.3% 6.5% 6.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
1 4.8% 9.4% 9.2% 6.0% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.8% 6.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1