J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 05:00 • Kanseki Stadium Tochigi
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.39) 1.13 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.5% 30.0% 39.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Kagoshima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tochigi SC 0 12.5% 14.1% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.4% 7.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTochigi SCKagoshima United
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack18%59%
Defense71%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tochigi SC Kagoshima United
HATHAT
Played171734181634
Wins47%35%41%67%38%53%
Draws12%29%21%17%44%29%
Loses41%35%38%17%19%18%

Form: Tochigi SC: WLLDWLDLWLDWDWLDLWLLLWWWDWWWDLWLWL • Kagoshima United: DLWWDWDWDDLWWLWDDLWDWWWWDWWWLLDWWW

League goals

Metric Tochigi SC Kagoshima United
HATHAT
GF total201434432366
GF avg1.20.81.02.41.41.9
GA total161733191837
GA avg0.91.01.01.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTochigi SCKagoshima United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%62%85%71%
1.515%29%53%32%
2.512%3%32%6%
3.53%3%12%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTochigi SCKagoshima United
HATHAT
Clean sheets58136410
Failed to score4610145

Penalties

MetricTochigi SCKagoshima United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricTochigi SCKagoshima United
Wins34
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-36-01-3
Biggest losses1-24-10-33-0
Goals For4363
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricTochigi SCKagoshima United
Form38%63%
Att23%77%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h40%60%
Goals46%54%
Total42.2%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kagoshima United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.35 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Betano
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tochigi SC = 0.95 (league 1.39), Kagoshima United = 1.13 (league 1.12)

Kagoshima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tochigi SC 0 12.5% 14.1% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.4% 7.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 39.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1