J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 05:00 • Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.39) 0.88 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.2% 30.0% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fukushima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitakyushu 0 12.8% 11.4% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.8% 7.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKitakyushuFukushima United
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack59%18%
Defense76%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kitakyushu Fukushima United
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins41%53%47%29%41%35%
Draws24%6%15%35%12%24%
Loses35%41%38%35%47%41%

Form: Kitakyushu: WLWWLWWLDLDWWDLWLLLLWWLLDLWWLWDWWW • Fukushima United: DLWWLWDWLDWLLDWDLLLWDLDWDWWLLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Kitakyushu Fukushima United
HATHAT
GF total162440321951
GF avg0.91.41.21.91.11.5
GA total151833333063
GA avg0.91.11.01.91.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKitakyushuFukushima United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%65%76%82%
1.529%21%50%50%
2.512%9%18%26%
3.53%3%6%15%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKitakyushuFukushima United
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512336
Failed to score459358

Penalties

MetricKitakyushuFukushima United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricKitakyushuFukushima United
Wins22
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-01-47-1
Goals For2442
Goals Against3447

Model comparison

MetricKitakyushuFukushima United
Form68%32%
Att77%23%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Kitakyushu or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw3.65 @ Betano
Away3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Betano
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kitakyushu = 1.17 (league 1.39), Fukushima United = 0.88 (league 1.12)

Fukushima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitakyushu 0 12.8% 11.4% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.8% 7.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.2% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1