J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 05:00 • Unilever Stadium Shintomi
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.39) 1.82 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 18.7% 26.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
6.8%
3 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.2% 5.9% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.1% 7.5% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.3% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.2% 4.0% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack82%41%
Defense65%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Thespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
Played171734181634
Wins47%53%50%22%25%24%
Draws35%24%29%44%13%29%
Loses18%24%21%33%63%47%

Form: Tegevajaro Miyazaki: LWWDLWDDWDWWDDWDWWLDLLWWWLWLWWDWDW • Thespakusatsu Gunma: DWLLWLLDDLDWDDWDLLWDDLWLLLLLDLLLWW

League goals

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Thespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
GF total282856182745
GF avg1.61.61.61.01.71.3
GA total211940203555
GA avg1.21.11.21.12.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%76%71%74%
1.547%32%44%47%
2.524%9%15%29%
3.512%0%3%9%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
Clean sheets448819
Failed to score3478210

Penalties

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
Wins31
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-52-02-4
Biggest losses1-32-00-45-2
Goals For4534
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
Form65%35%
Att67%33%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Betano
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Betano
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tegevajaro Miyazaki = 2.54 (league 1.39), Thespakusatsu Gunma = 1.82 (league 1.12)

Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.2% 5.9% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.1% 7.5% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.3% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.2% 4.0% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 26.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1