J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 05:03 • Unilever Stadium Shintomi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.42) 1.80 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.1% 19.0% 26.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
6.9%
3 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 1.4% 2.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.4% 6.2% 5.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.3% 7.7% 6.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.3% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.6%
4 2.2% 3.9% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3%
5 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack100%50%
Defense57%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Thespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
Played171734181634
Wins47%53%50%22%25%24%
Draws35%24%29%44%13%29%
Loses18%24%21%33%63%47%

Form: Tegevajaro Miyazaki: LWWDLWDDWDWWDDWDWWLDLLWWWLWLWWDWDW • Thespakusatsu Gunma: DWLLWLLDDLDWDDWDLLWDDLWLLLLLDLLLWW

League goals

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Thespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
GF total282856182745
GF avg1.61.61.61.01.71.3
GA total211940203555
GA avg1.21.11.21.12.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%76%71%74%
1.547%32%44%47%
2.524%9%15%29%
3.512%0%3%9%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
Clean sheets448819
Failed to score3478210

Penalties

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
Wins31
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-52-02-4
Biggest losses1-32-00-45-2
Goals For4534
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiThespakusatsu Gunma
Form65%35%
Att67%33%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away3.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tegevajaro Miyazaki = 2.48 (league 1.42), Thespakusatsu Gunma = 1.80 (league 1.14)

Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 1.4% 2.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.4% 6.2% 5.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.3% 7.7% 6.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.3% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.6%
4 2.2% 3.9% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3%
5 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1