J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 05:00 • Sagamihara Gion Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.41) 0.79 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 30.8% 25.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
FC Ryukyu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 14.4% 11.4% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.5% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSagamiharaFC Ryukyu
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack33%58%
Defense83%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sagamihara FC Ryukyu
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins47%22%34%44%12%29%
Draws24%39%31%17%29%23%
Loses29%39%34%39%59%49%

Form: Sagamihara: LWLWDLDLDDDWLDLDDWDLWWLWWWLLDLLWWDW • FC Ryukyu: DLLLLWDWDDLLLWLLWWLWDWDDLWWLLLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Sagamihara FC Ryukyu
HATHAT
GF total151833211738
GF avg0.91.00.91.21.01.1
GA total162642213051
GA avg0.91.41.21.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSagamiharaFC Ryukyu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%69%80%
1.520%31%34%40%
2.56%11%6%20%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSagamiharaFC Ryukyu
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411527
Failed to score56115611

Penalties

MetricSagamiharaFC Ryukyu
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSagamiharaFC Ryukyu
Wins32
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-53-00-34-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against5434

Model comparison

MetricSagamiharaFC Ryukyu
Form71%29%
Att36%64%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h38%62%
Goals56%44%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sagamihara or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sagamihara = 1.15 (league 1.41), FC Ryukyu = 0.79 (league 1.14)

FC Ryukyu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 14.4% 11.4% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.5% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 25.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1