J3 League — Japan
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 05:00 • Nagano U Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.40) 1.57 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.7% 25.3% 53.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parceiro Nagano 0 8.7% 13.7% 10.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.6% 11.9% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.3% 5.2% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParceiro NaganoTegevajaro Miyazaki
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack15%50%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parceiro Nagano Tegevajaro Miyazaki
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins35%17%26%44%53%49%
Draws29%17%23%33%24%29%
Loses35%67%51%22%24%23%

Form: Parceiro Nagano: WLWLWLLDLDLDDWLLWLDDWLLLDLDLWLWLWLL • Tegevajaro Miyazaki: LWWDLWDDWDWWDDWDWWLDLLWWWLWLWWDWDWL

League goals

Metric Parceiro Nagano Tegevajaro Miyazaki
HATHAT
GF total181129292857
GF avg1.10.60.81.61.61.6
GA total193049231942
GA avg1.11.71.41.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParceiro NaganoTegevajaro Miyazaki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%74%80%77%
1.514%43%46%34%
2.56%14%23%9%
3.53%3%11%0%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParceiro NaganoTegevajaro Miyazaki
HATHAT
Clean sheets549448
Failed to score31114347

Penalties

MetricParceiro NaganoTegevajaro Miyazaki
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricParceiro NaganoTegevajaro Miyazaki
Wins13
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-21-5
Biggest losses1-36-01-32-0
Goals For3445
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricParceiro NaganoTegevajaro Miyazaki
Form43%57%
Att23%77%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Parceiro Nagano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parceiro Nagano = 0.87 (league 1.40), Tegevajaro Miyazaki = 1.57 (league 1.12)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parceiro Nagano 0 8.7% 13.7% 10.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.6% 11.9% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.3% 5.2% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 53.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1