J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 05:00 • Ashitaka Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.40) 1.67 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 22.3% 35.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Azul Claro Numazu 0 3.1% 5.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.6% 9.3% 7.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.4% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.0% 5.1% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAzul Claro NumazuThespakusatsu Gunma
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack50%67%
Defense25%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Azul Claro Numazu Thespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins24%11%17%22%29%26%
Draws35%22%29%44%12%29%
Loses41%67%54%33%59%46%

Form: Azul Claro Numazu: WDDDLLDDLDLLDDWLLLWDLLLLLLLWLWLLLDW • Thespakusatsu Gunma: DWLLWLLDDLDWDDWDLLWDDLWLLLLLDLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Azul Claro Numazu Thespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
GF total201838182947
GF avg1.21.01.11.01.71.3
GA total193251203656
GA avg1.11.81.51.12.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAzul Claro NumazuThespakusatsu Gunma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%71%71%74%
1.523%43%46%46%
2.517%23%14%29%
3.56%6%3%9%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAzul Claro NumazuThespakusatsu Gunma
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310819
Failed to score76138210

Penalties

MetricAzul Claro NumazuThespakusatsu Gunma
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAzul Claro NumazuThespakusatsu Gunma
Wins11
Draws32
Losses75

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-32-02-4
Biggest losses1-33-10-45-2
Goals For4334
Goals Against5445

Model comparison

MetricAzul Claro NumazuThespakusatsu Gunma
Form31%69%
Att43%57%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Thespakusatsu Gunma

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.11 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Unibet
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Azul Claro Numazu = 1.81 (league 1.40), Thespakusatsu Gunma = 1.67 (league 1.12)

Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Azul Claro Numazu 0 3.1% 5.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.6% 9.3% 7.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.4% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.0% 5.1% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 35.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod3