J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 05:00 • Pikara
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.40) 2.00 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.8% 21.2% 58.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
10.0%
1 - 1
9.9%
0 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Kagoshima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kamatamare Sanuki 0 4.8% 9.6% 9.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
1 5.0% 9.9% 10.0% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.6% 5.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKamatamare SanukiKagoshima United
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack33%83%
Defense17%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kamatamare Sanuki Kagoshima United
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins35%11%23%67%35%51%
Draws12%28%20%17%41%29%
Loses53%61%57%17%24%20%

Form: Kamatamare Sanuki: DWDLWLDDLLLWWLLDLLLWLLDDWLLWLLLLWLL • Kagoshima United: DLWWDWDWDDLWWLWDDLWDWWWWDWWWLLDWWWL

League goals

Metric Kamatamare Sanuki Kagoshima United
HATHAT
GF total201939432366
GF avg1.21.11.12.41.41.9
GA total273057192039
GA avg1.61.71.61.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKamatamare SanukiKagoshima United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%89%83%71%
1.529%40%51%34%
2.511%20%31%6%
3.53%11%11%0%
4.50%3%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKamatamare SanukiKagoshima United
HATHAT
Clean sheets3146410
Failed to score5611156

Penalties

MetricKamatamare SanukiKagoshima United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricKamatamare SanukiKagoshima United
Wins24
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-26-01-3
Biggest losses1-54-20-33-0
Goals For4363
Goals Against5433

Model comparison

MetricKamatamare SanukiKagoshima United
Form23%77%
Att29%71%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kagoshima United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.95 @ 10Bet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away1.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Unibet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kamatamare Sanuki = 1.03 (league 1.40), Kagoshima United = 2.00 (league 1.12)

Kagoshima United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kamatamare Sanuki 0 4.8% 9.6% 9.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
1 5.0% 9.9% 10.0% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.6% 5.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.8% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 58.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1