J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 05:00 • Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.42) 0.87 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.4% 33.8% 33.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
15.6%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0 17.9% 15.6% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.2% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.4% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThespakusatsu GunmaMatsumoto Yamaga
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack91%55%
Defense55%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Thespakusatsu Gunma Matsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins22%33%28%33%22%28%
Draws44%11%28%33%22%28%
Loses33%56%44%33%56%44%

Form: Thespakusatsu Gunma: DWLLWLLDDLDWDDWDLLWDDLWLLLLLDLLLWWWW • Matsumoto Yamaga: DLDWDLWLWWLDWLLWDLLWLWDDDLWDLLLLLLWD

League goals

Metric Thespakusatsu Gunma Matsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
GF total183149211637
GF avg1.01.71.41.20.91.0
GA total203757222143
GA avg1.12.11.61.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThespakusatsu GunmaMatsumoto Yamaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%75%69%69%
1.547%44%28%31%
2.514%28%6%14%
3.53%8%0%3%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThespakusatsu GunmaMatsumoto Yamaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets8196511
Failed to score82103811

Penalties

MetricThespakusatsu GunmaMatsumoto Yamaga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricThespakusatsu GunmaMatsumoto Yamaga
Wins12
Draws23
Losses56

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-43-00-3
Biggest losses0-45-20-53-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against4553

Model comparison

MetricThespakusatsu GunmaMatsumoto Yamaga
Form75%25%
Att63%38%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total60.8%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Thespakusatsu Gunma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ SBO
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Thespakusatsu Gunma = 0.85 (league 1.42), Matsumoto Yamaga = 0.87 (league 1.14)

Matsumoto Yamaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0 17.9% 15.6% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.2% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.4% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 33.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1