J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 04:00 • Shiranami Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.22 (league 1.42) 0.97 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.0% 11.5% 7.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.4%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC Ryukyu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kagoshima United 0 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.9% 4.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.9% 7.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKagoshima UnitedFC Ryukyu
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack75%67%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kagoshima United FC Ryukyu
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins67%33%50%44%11%28%
Draws17%44%31%17%28%22%
Loses17%22%19%39%61%50%

Form: Kagoshima United: DLWWDWDWDDLWWLWDDLWDWWWWDWWWLLDWWWLD • FC Ryukyu: DLLLLWDWDDLLLWLLWWLWDWDDLWWLLLLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Kagoshima United FC Ryukyu
HATHAT
GF total432366211839
GF avg2.41.31.81.21.01.1
GA total192039213455
GA avg1.11.11.11.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKagoshima UnitedFC Ryukyu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%69%69%81%
1.550%33%33%42%
2.531%6%6%22%
3.511%0%0%8%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKagoshima UnitedFC Ryukyu
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511527
Failed to score1675611

Penalties

MetricKagoshima UnitedFC Ryukyu
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricKagoshima UnitedFC Ryukyu
Wins42
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-34-1
Goals For6333
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricKagoshima UnitedFC Ryukyu
Form71%29%
Att53%47%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h60%40%
Goals55%45%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Double chance : Kagoshima United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Bet365
Draw5.11 @ Pinnacle
Away8.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kagoshima United = 3.22 (league 1.42), FC Ryukyu = 0.97 (league 1.14)

FC Ryukyu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kagoshima United 0 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.9% 4.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.9% 7.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.0% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1