J3 League — Japan
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 06:00 • Sagamihara Gion Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.42) 1.27 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.2% 28.6% 43.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Tochigi City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 11.1% 14.1% 8.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.8% 6.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSagamiharaTochigi City
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack50%64%
Defense79%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sagamihara Tochigi City
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins50%21%35%74%44%59%
Draws22%37%30%16%28%22%
Loses28%42%35%11%28%19%

Form: Sagamihara: LWLWDLDLDDDWLDLDDWDLWWLWWWLLDLLWWDWWL • Tochigi City: WLDWWWDDWWWDWLWWLWWWDLDLWWLWWWWDWDWLW

League goals

Metric Sagamihara Tochigi City
HATHAT
GF total191938352964
GF avg1.11.01.01.81.61.7
GA total172845162137
GA avg0.91.51.20.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSagamiharaTochigi City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%81%65%
1.522%32%51%30%
2.58%11%30%3%
3.53%5%5%3%
4.50%3%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSagamiharaTochigi City
HATHAT
Clean sheets74118513
Failed to score5611257

Penalties

MetricSagamiharaTochigi City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSagamiharaTochigi City
Wins34
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-00-5
Biggest losses0-53-01-22-0
Goals For4335
Goals Against5424

Model comparison

MetricSagamiharaTochigi City
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total45.8%54.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tochigi City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.85 @ Unibet
Away1.73 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sagamihara = 0.93 (league 1.42), Tochigi City = 1.27 (league 1.14)

Tochigi City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 11.1% 14.1% 8.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.8% 6.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 43.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1