J3 League — Japan
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 06:00 • Nagano U Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.41) 0.77 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.2% 36.0% 31.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.2%
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 1
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tochigi SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parceiro Nagano 0 21.2% 16.4% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.7% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.4% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParceiro NaganoTochigi SC
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack14%43%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parceiro Nagano Tochigi SC
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins33%16%24%53%33%43%
Draws28%16%22%11%28%19%
Loses39%68%54%37%39%38%

Form: Parceiro Nagano: WLWLWLLDLDLDDWLLWLDDWLLLDLDLWLWLWLLLL • Tochigi SC: WLLDWLDLWLDWDWLDLWLLLWWWDWWWDLWLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Parceiro Nagano Tochigi SC
HATHAT
GF total181129241438
GF avg1.00.60.81.30.81.0
GA total203353171936
GA avg1.11.71.40.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParceiro NaganoTochigi SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%76%70%62%
1.514%43%19%30%
2.55%16%11%3%
3.53%3%3%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParceiro NaganoTochigi SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets5496814
Failed to score412164711

Penalties

MetricParceiro NaganoTochigi SC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricParceiro NaganoTochigi SC
Wins13
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-12-3
Biggest losses1-36-01-24-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against3624

Model comparison

MetricParceiro NaganoTochigi SC
Form25%75%
Att25%75%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tochigi SC and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.25 @ 10Bet
Draw3.75 @ Betano
Away1.62 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parceiro Nagano = 0.78 (league 1.41), Tochigi SC = 0.77 (league 1.14)

Tochigi SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parceiro Nagano 0 21.2% 16.4% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.7% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.4% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.2% · Draw 36.0% · Away win 31.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1