Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 00:30 • Q2 Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.14) 1.19 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 27.8% 36.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
San Jose Earthquakes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Austin 0 9.2% 11.0% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.0% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.8% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAustinSan Jose Earthquakes
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack100%89%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Austin San Jose Earthquakes
HATHAT
Played131326141428
Wins31%38%35%29%36%32%
Draws54%8%31%43%14%29%
Loses15%54%35%29%50%39%

Form: Austin: WLLWWWDLWLLLDDDDLWWLDWWDDL • San Jose Earthquakes: WWLLLDWLLLWWDDDWLDWDDLDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Austin San Jose Earthquakes
HATHAT
GF total111526322052
GF avg0.81.21.02.31.41.9
GA total112132242448
GA avg0.81.61.21.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAustinSan Jose Earthquakes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%69%93%86%
1.527%35%46%50%
2.54%12%25%21%
3.54%4%14%11%
4.50%4%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAustinSan Jose Earthquakes
HATHAT
Clean sheets538134
Failed to score549112

Penalties

MetricAustinSan Jose Earthquakes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricAustinSan Jose Earthquakes
Wins32
Draws43
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-46-12-4
Biggest losses0-35-13-54-1
Goals For2464
Goals Against3554

Model comparison

MetricAustinSan Jose Earthquakes
Form57%43%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h64%36%
Goals53%47%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Austin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Bet365
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away3.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 188Bet
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Austin = 1.19 (league 1.14), San Jose Earthquakes = 1.19 (league 0.94)

San Jose Earthquakes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Austin 0 9.2% 11.0% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.0% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.8% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 36.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1