Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 00:30 • Allianz Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.12 (league 1.14) 2.82 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 16.4% 30.7%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.3%
2 - 2
5.1%
3 - 3
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chicago Fire
0 1 2 3 4 5
Minnesota United FC 0 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
1 0.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2%
2 1.3% 3.6% 5.1% 4.8% 3.4% 1.9%
3 1.3% 3.8% 5.3% 5.0% 3.5% 2.0%
4 1.0% 2.9% 4.1% 3.9% 2.7% 1.5%
5 0.7% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMinnesota United FCChicago Fire
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack56%56%
Defense69%19%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Minnesota United FC Chicago Fire
HATHAT
Played151530151429
Wins47%53%50%33%50%41%
Draws27%33%30%33%7%21%
Loses27%13%20%33%43%38%

Form: Minnesota United FC: LWWDDWWDDLWWLWDDWLWDWWLDWLWWDW • Chicago Fire: LDWWWDLDLLDWWLWWLLWLLDWWDWLWL

League goals

Metric Minnesota United FC Chicago Fire
HATHAT
GF total262551213354
GF avg1.71.71.71.42.41.9
GA total171633233053
GA avg1.11.11.11.52.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMinnesota United FCChicago Fire
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%83%86%
1.553%27%59%55%
2.530%10%28%21%
3.57%3%7%10%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMinnesota United FCChicago Fire
HATHAT
Clean sheets549314
Failed to score246415

Penalties

MetricMinnesota United FCChicago Fire
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricMinnesota United FCChicago Fire
Wins23
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-33-21-7
Biggest losses2-42-01-37-2
Goals For4337
Goals Against4337

Model comparison

MetricMinnesota United FCChicago Fire
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def72%28%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h40%60%
Goals47%53%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Minnesota United FC or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away2.93 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ 188Bet
No2.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Minnesota United FC = 3.12 (league 1.14), Chicago Fire = 2.82 (league 0.94)

Chicago Fire
0 1 2 3 4 5
Minnesota United FC 0 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
1 0.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2%
2 1.3% 3.6% 5.1% 4.8% 3.4% 1.9%
3 1.3% 3.8% 5.3% 5.0% 3.5% 2.0%
4 1.0% 2.9% 4.1% 3.9% 2.7% 1.5%
5 0.7% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 30.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1